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ArcSpread
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Trader Dashboard
Ensemble spread predictions with confidence tiers and ISO breakdown
Date
ISO
All ISOs
NYISO
PJM
CAISO
MISO
SPP
ISO-NE
Min confidence
All tiers
≥ 0.25
≥ 0.50
≥ 0.75
1.00 only
Portfolio Exposure
Today's bid-strategy cap consumption & remaining headroom for the next cron firing
Historical Accuracy
Per-ISO direction accuracy over the lookback window
Lookback
7 days
30 days
90 days
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Recent Retrain Runs
Ledger of model retraining cycles — expand a row for per-ISO tier accuracy delta
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Confidence Calibration
Predicted confidence tier vs realised hit-rate · dashed = expected, bars = observed
Calibration data will appear once predictions are scored
Predictions
Sort:
Spread
Confidence
Node
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Today's Paper Trades
Ledger of executed virtual bids — predicted vs realised spread per ISO x node x hour
0 trades
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Paper-Trade Reconciliation
Settled vs pending fills — hit rate, simulated P&L, max drawdown for the selected ISO / day
Hit rate %
—
Settled / Pending
—
Total simulated P&L (USD)
—
Max drawdown (USD/MWh)
—
Start
End
auto-refreshes on change
ISO
Node
Side
Realised spread
Outcome
Confidence
Timestamp
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Paper-Trade Cron Runs
Daily ~07:00 UTC auto-execution runs — per-run rollup with per-ISO breakdown
0 runs
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